South African Open: Grace and Burmester Lead Charge for Home Victory

The South African Open trophy hasn’t left the country since 2018, and analyst Ben Coley doesn’t anticipate that changing this week as the tournament heads to Stellenbosch for the first time this century.

Key Storylines

• Stellenbosch hosts the South African Open for the first time this century.
• Patrick Reed aims for his third win of the year.
• A strong contingent of LIV Golf players are part of the home challenge.

Betting Favorites Emerge

Coley identifies two strong contenders for the title, offering betting recommendations:

• 3pts e.w. Branden Grace at 22/1 (General 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8)
• 3pts e.w. Dean Burmester at 22/1 (Coral, Ladbrokes 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)

Odds are available at Sky Bet, Paddy Power, and Betfair Sportsbook.

The Importance of Playing It As It Lies

“In my opinion, the very worst (golf-related) opinion it’s possible to hold is that Make sure to be able to place the ball on the fairway if it has come to rest in a divot.”

Ben Coley

Coley argues against altering the fundamental challenge of golf, emphasizing the role of randomness and the acceptance of unfavorable lies. He references a past South African Open at Stellenbosch where Sven Struver lost due to an unfortunate lie in a divot, highlighting how even a good shot can be undone by circumstance.

“Would it have been fairer had Struver been able to lift, clean and place his ball? Maybe. But what does fair really mean in golf? Why, in the uncontrolled environment of the outside world, should we strive for maximum control?”

Ben Coley

Reed Continues Pursuit of Race to Dubai Points

Patrick Reed is competing in the Joburg Open as well, continuing his quest for Race to Dubai points after recent victories in Dubai and Qatar. He is expected to return to the PGA Tour in the autumn with boosted playing status.

The course at Stellenbosch, stretched to over 7,200 yards as a par 70, is expected to favor strong off-the-tee players.

South African Contenders

Alongside Reed, Dean Burmester, Branden Grace, and Charl Schwartzel are among the South African players in the field. The course hasn’t seen significant action since 2019.

As Coley notes, Rewinding to Frost, he said: “It’s a tough test. You’ve got to be so patient out here because the course can bite you at any time. It’s not necessarily about how good your good shots are, it’s about how bad your bad shots are.”

Grace’s Potential

Coley favors Branden Grace, citing his recent form and positive past experience at Stellenbosch, where he won the SA Amateur Stroke Play. Grace has shown strong approach play in recent LIV circuit events.

Burmester’s Challenge

Dean Burmester is also highlighted as a strong contender, benefiting from recent form and a history of success on home soil. He has won on the LIV circuit under demanding conditions.

FAQ

Who are the favorites to win the South African Open?

Branden Grace and Dean Burmester are highlighted as strong contenders by Ben Coley.

Is Patrick Reed playing in the South African Open?

Yes, Patrick Reed is competing in the tournament as he continues his pursuit of Race to Dubai points.

Where is the South African Open being held this year?

The tournament is being held at Stellenbosch for the first time this century.

Posted at 18:00 GMT on 23/02/26