Real Madrid Ranked as Longshot in Champions League Predictions
As the first qualifying rounds approach, data analytics firm Opta Analyst has released its predictions for the upcoming Champions League season and the results are raising eyebrows. Real Madrid, historically a dominant force in the competition, is given a mere 2.24% chance of lifting the trophy.
Surprising Odds for Los Blancos
The Opta supercomputer forecasts Arsenal as the frontrunners with a 29.18% probability of winning the Champions League. Following closely behind are Bayern Munich (14%), Manchester City (11%), Liverpool, Chelsea, and Barcelona (5.84%). Paris Saint-Germain rounds out the top contenders at 4.48%.
Real Madrid finds itself further down the list, trailing behind Inter Milan and Newcastle United. This low ranking comes after a season where the team struggled to advance past the first stage and needed the new play-off round to reach the round of 16
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Other Contenders and Longshots
The predictions also highlight the prospects of other European clubs. Atlético Madrid is given a 0.78% chance of winning, while Monaco is ranked as the least likely winner with a mere 0.01%, narrowly ahead of Bodo/Glimt at 0.03%.
Recent Performance and Context
The analysis suggests that Real Madrid’s recent form and a change in management may be contributing factors to the lowered expectations. Last season, they were beaten 5-1 on aggregate in the quarter-final stage against Arsenal
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“After crunching all the numbers, Xabi Alonso’s side has just the seventh-best chance of winning the tournament.”
Opta Analyst
Looking Ahead
The 2025-26 Champions League season is set to begin on September 16, with Real Madrid’s first match against Marseille. The supercomputer’s predictions will be updated throughout the season as teams compete and results unfold.
FAQ
- What is Opta Analyst? Opta Analyst is a data-driven sports analysis firm providing stats, predictions, and coverage.
- Who are the favorites to win the Champions League? According to Opta, Arsenal and Bayern Munich are the top contenders.
- What is Real Madrid’s predicted chance of winning? Real Madrid is given a 2.24% chance of winning the tournament.
The Champions League promises another season of thrilling competition, and while Real Madrid faces an uphill battle according to current projections, their storied history suggests they should never be counted out.