The Latest York Yankees, boasting a strong record, are hitting effectively and receiving solid pitching, while the Philadelphia Phillies are struggling with injuries, and inconsistency. The focus shifts to overall form – and the Yankees appear poised for another victory.

New York Yankees (Hosts)

Record: 13-7

• Attack: AVG .229, 5.5 R/G, 1.8 HR/G
• Pitching: ERA 3.31, WHIP 1.16
• Last 5 Preseason Matches: 3/13/26 | @ATL | L7-6; 3/12/26 | @DET | W4-3; 3/11/26 | vs TOR | W8-1; 3/10/26 | @PHI | W4-2; 3/9/26 | vs PIT | L5-3
• Key Players: Spencer Jones (4 HR, .333 AVG, 8 RBI), Jasson Dominguez (9 RBI, 3 HR, .333 AVG), Paul Goldschmidt (.500 AVG)

The Yankees are a run-scoring machine in the preseason: 109 runs in 20 games, with leaders like Spencer Jones, who is smashing pitches for home runs. I saw their last series – against the Phillies on March 10, they simply tore apart the visiting defense 4-2, where Dominguez carried an RBI, and the pitching did not give a chance for a comeback.

Weaknesses include injuries in the rotation, but the bullpen is holding strong, and the offense, with 35 home runs, compensates effectively.

Philadelphia Phillies (Away)

Record: 7-11-1

• Attack: AVG .228, 4.6 R/G, 0.8 HR/G
• Pitching: ERA 4.95, WHIP 1.45
• Last 5 Preseason Matches: 3/13/26 | vs BAL | W11-8; 3/12/26 | vs TOR | W8-5 F/8; 3/10/26 | vs NYY | L4-2; 3/9/26 | @BOS | L5-3; 3/8/26 | @MIN | L7-6
• Key Players: Rene Pinto (2 HR, .143 AVG, 5 RBI), Rafael Marchan (6 RBI), Jack Barker (1.000 AVG)

The Phillies’ preseason looks like a team that’s about to take off but is drowning in an ERA of nearly 5.00, with pitchers handing out hits like Halloween candy and a WHIP of 1.45 that screams control. Two recent wins over BAL and TOR gave hope, but I saw them give up to the Yankees on March 10th, with the offense giving up 2 runs and the defense giving up 4.

The Phillies have 16 home runs in 19 games, which isn’t enough to challenge the Yankees. Injuries in the bullpen create uncertainty in late innings.

Injuries

New York Yankees (Hosts):

• Rafael Montero – RP – Day-To-Day [Mar 13]
• Anthony Volpe – SS – OUT [Apr 24]
• Carlos Rodon – SP – OUT [Apr 25]
• Gerrit Cole – SP – OUT [May 25]
• Clarke Schmidt – SP – 60-Day IL [Aug 1]

Philadelphia Phillies (Guests):

• Mark Kolozsvary – C – Day-To-Day [Mar 13]
• Daniel Robert – RP – Day-To-Day [Mar 13]
• Michael Mercado – RP – Day-To-Day [Mar 13]
• Max Lazar – RP – Day-To-Day [Mar 17]
• Orion Kerkering – RP – OUT [Mar 26]

Head-to-Head Meetings

The Yankees defeated the Phillies 4-2 on March 10th, demonstrating their dominance. This was the only preseason matchup between the two teams.

Recent Form

New York Yankees (Last 5):

• 3/13/26 | @ATL | L7-6
• 3/12/26 | @DET | W4-3
• 3/11/26 | vs TOR | W8-1
• 3/10/26 | @PHI | W4-2
• 3/9/26 | vs PIT | L5-3

Philadelphia Phillies (Last 5):

• 3/13/26 | vs BAL | W11-8
• 3/12/26 | vs TOR | W8-5 F/8
• 3/10/26 | vs NYY | L4-2
• 3/9/26 | @BOS | L5-3
• 3/8/26 | @MIN | L7-6

Bookmaker Odds

Bookmakers favor the Yankees (P1 1.62), with the Phillies listed at P2 2.15. This reflects the Yankees’ superior record (13-7 vs. 7-11-1) and pitching (ERA 3.31 vs. 4.95). The Yankees’ offensive power (5.5 R/G, 1.8 HR/G) and recent 4-2 win over the Phillies further support this.

The Phillies’ odds of 2.15 appear overpriced given their weak bullpen and recent losses.

Match Prediction P1

The Yankees are the clear favorites. Their potent offense, led by Jones and Dominguez, will exploit the Phillies’ weak pitching (ERA 4.95). The recent 4-2 victory adds confidence. While the Phillies may score early, the Yankees’ home-field advantage and strong defense will likely prevail. Expect a low-scoring game with the Yankees in control.

Forecast – P1 🚀